Monday, February 20, 2012

Clear Skies Today with A Nice Rebound in Temperatures Through the Week.

What an interesting event it was for many across NC as the system moved through, spreading snow for the first time across the state outside the mountains.  As expected, there were winners and losers with this one, and unfortunately for the folks south of I-40, little or no snow accumulation really took place like I forecasted (actually most of the predicted totals besides my thoughts on it were lower), though I can say that some folks did indeed see flakes mix with sleet or saw a brief period of snow fall, which allowed a trace to be reported for certain places such as Charlotte.  This and other areas who managed to report both the snow and accumulation of some sort are now out of the "No snow/measurable snow" idea for the winter.  Good deal. The problem with the event overall was the fact that the system did not go as far south as I had figured and moved a little more quickly, thus cutting the length of time that it would stick around.  In fact, by nighttime, skies were already clearing but as always, there are curveballs thrown somewhere down the road and this storm proved that such can happen.  Another issue was the fact that the system's moisture stayed more north rather than wrapping back into NC, putting much of VA in the game aside from northern NC and despite the small redevelopment back in SW NC, that never really made it further east later that evening but thankfully a spoke of energy that was gathering near the GA/SC border earlier that day that made its way here and provided the rain to sleet event for places such Gastonia. With that, this made me decide to NOT put out a final call map, as it looked like the preliminary was safe enough to stick with and make it the official one instead.  I'm thinking this is the last shot at winter weather, unless the end of this month brings something according to GFS, which right now looks more wet but could trend wintry and if not that, then MAYBE something in early March.  Who knows...

Temperatures will feel really nice as we push through the week with highs gradually going from 40s-50s to 50s-60s and can't rule out some 70°+ readings for highs on Thursday or Friday.  It looks like some shower activity will be arriving as we get through the mid-late week period, increasing in chance over time.  Parts of TN looks to get some showers here and there through the week but slight chances at best until later as it stands now. Could change toward a drier scenario but overall it looks nice and dry for most despite the shower chances.

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