Man what a day it has been for many. Early-day temperatures in the mid 40s have quickly fallen down into the 30s throughout the afternoon and with that some gusty winds will be around for the rest of the day. Winds should gradually die down though as we get into tomorrow but I expect the occasional 30 (maybe 35) mph gust could kick up before then. Some folks were lucky enough to see a few flakes escape outside the Apps, which does officially count as "seeing snow" of some fashion so the flakeless winter is ruled out for some but don't expect anything bigger than that if you happen to be standing in the right spot. Snow will continue to break out across the mountains and with that WWAs and WSWs have been put out for the counties up that way. Lows should be making a drive down to the 20s and teens with mountain spots looking at lower teens to single digit readings! I can't rule out on upper teen readings for some further south in the Southeast so prepare yourself for quite a cold night. We will likely remain quite chilly for a few days before warming back up some during the mid-week period.
There has been much talk of the supposed Valentine's Day threat, and if you are one of the folks that have been following this, then you are likely aware of the recent downtrend we are seeing with this. If you want my thoughts on what I think could play out with this event, it's this: While I do think that there will be some kind of wintry event that takes place across the upper portion of the Southeast (especially for those west of the Apps), it's hard to really see much of anything further east as the system's moisture becomes limited and the cold air out ahead of this appears to want to retreat before it gets into the Carolinas. Now to be honest, I actually think that we could pull off a quick improvement of this system and may see something for everyone further east in the region (the favorable spots that is) but if so, this would need to happen early in the morning as temperatures will eventually become too warm to be anything frozen but will say that some flakes of snow or a mix of it and a bit of sleet is possible before it kicks over to showery-like activity (if any moisture left by then). It bears watching but I really can't be too optimistic with such. Beyond that, there's another system to watch (if you've been seeing the Euro) that would occur sometime during the 19th-20th time frame but being that it's way out there, I can't go too deep with that one but yesterday's (and today's) 12z both have a nice southern storm system that slides through with enough cold air in place for possibly a good hit. We'll see. I can relate with some of you that we would watch any threat, be it in the near or long term, with the way this winter has been.
By the way, I would have put up an update yesterday but had some issues with my original monitor. Turns out that something within it has blown and is no longer able to show a display of anything so I had to swap out with another one that I had lying around and do a bit of adjusting with both my desktops.
Have a good day and stay bundled.
There has been much talk of the supposed Valentine's Day threat, and if you are one of the folks that have been following this, then you are likely aware of the recent downtrend we are seeing with this. If you want my thoughts on what I think could play out with this event, it's this: While I do think that there will be some kind of wintry event that takes place across the upper portion of the Southeast (especially for those west of the Apps), it's hard to really see much of anything further east as the system's moisture becomes limited and the cold air out ahead of this appears to want to retreat before it gets into the Carolinas. Now to be honest, I actually think that we could pull off a quick improvement of this system and may see something for everyone further east in the region (the favorable spots that is) but if so, this would need to happen early in the morning as temperatures will eventually become too warm to be anything frozen but will say that some flakes of snow or a mix of it and a bit of sleet is possible before it kicks over to showery-like activity (if any moisture left by then). It bears watching but I really can't be too optimistic with such. Beyond that, there's another system to watch (if you've been seeing the Euro) that would occur sometime during the 19th-20th time frame but being that it's way out there, I can't go too deep with that one but yesterday's (and today's) 12z both have a nice southern storm system that slides through with enough cold air in place for possibly a good hit. We'll see. I can relate with some of you that we would watch any threat, be it in the near or long term, with the way this winter has been.
By the way, I would have put up an update yesterday but had some issues with my original monitor. Turns out that something within it has blown and is no longer able to show a display of anything so I had to swap out with another one that I had lying around and do a bit of adjusting with both my desktops.
Have a good day and stay bundled.
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