It's been warm for a few days as highs pushed from the upper 50s and throughout the 60s (for most that is). Some have even flirted/barely passed the 70 degree mark for the folks further south. Unreal for late January. Definitely has not felt winter-like around here but at least, as expected, we dried out after seeing consistent rounds of rain and even some thunderstorms thrown into the mix. Things look to remain dry for the first half of this week before we get into more rounds of rain during the second half starting sometime during Wednesday and into Saturday but only a chance at best so nothing completely certain but there could be showers here and there for some. Temperatures look as if they will continue to be in the range that we have seen them stay in for much of this week before cooling off for the weekend.
Medium-long range has remained quite interesting with our pattern. There has been agreement that at some point during early February we will begin to build a nice +PNA (western ridging) that extends throughout Western Canada. During this time, we also see the AK vortex FINALLY get booted (one of the main culprits behind our terrible pattern) and with that said this will set the stage for what could be a pattern that features a longer-lasting cold scenario and possibly be able to track our first real winter threat for the Southeast. Tonight's Euro, for example, showed what I am talking about and develops a trough across the East but this run came very close to showing a decent winter storm for some across the Southeast, though it actually prints out snow for areas such as the Carolinas but it's quite light so not much but still interesting to note. The point in all this is that the pattern change is looking more and more likely to occur and for once we are not simply losing the solution in a matter of 2 days, as it has been a fairly consistent one over the past few days now. There is still a great deal of uncertainty as to whether or not this materializes but if it were to do so then we could be heading into a fun month and possibly beyond through a part of March assuming that it is not a transient change. We shall see...
Medium-long range has remained quite interesting with our pattern. There has been agreement that at some point during early February we will begin to build a nice +PNA (western ridging) that extends throughout Western Canada. During this time, we also see the AK vortex FINALLY get booted (one of the main culprits behind our terrible pattern) and with that said this will set the stage for what could be a pattern that features a longer-lasting cold scenario and possibly be able to track our first real winter threat for the Southeast. Tonight's Euro, for example, showed what I am talking about and develops a trough across the East but this run came very close to showing a decent winter storm for some across the Southeast, though it actually prints out snow for areas such as the Carolinas but it's quite light so not much but still interesting to note. The point in all this is that the pattern change is looking more and more likely to occur and for once we are not simply losing the solution in a matter of 2 days, as it has been a fairly consistent one over the past few days now. There is still a great deal of uncertainty as to whether or not this materializes but if it were to do so then we could be heading into a fun month and possibly beyond through a part of March assuming that it is not a transient change. We shall see...
No comments:
Post a Comment