What an exciting storm this is turning out to be. Areas across western and west-central TN, northeastern AR, northern (maybe central) MS and now parts of northern (and perhaps central) AL are getting into the wintry weather as the ULL continues to wrap the cold air around itself dropping snow, sleet, and such west of and underneath itself. I have reports of thundersnow taking place as dynamics support convective development but with snow as the main precipitation. There are also reports of some areas already having the ground covered so it definitely looks like at least an inch of snow was doable. I'm still sticking with my general 1-4 back west with areas caught in the heaviest persistent snows getting 3-4". Meanwhile, moderate to very heavy rain has fallen across parts of GA and the Carolinas through the day yesterday, dropping a general 1-5 inches. There were a few spots reporting rainfall totals of 6 to even 7 inches with flooding issues in the favorable locations. Dangerous stuff and for those of you underneath those flash flood warnings and advisories, please take it easy and don't attempt to drive through deep water. 6 inches is all it takes to carry a whole car down the road and that is the last thing we need to hear from a news station or in the newspaper.
The cut-off should continue to persist across the Southeast for today but this will begin the departure of the system as it will lift northeast and bring some snow showers across the rest of TN, northern (possibly portions of north-central) GA and across the NC mountains. As unusual as it sounds, due to such strong wrap-around cold air, winds coming out of the southwest will bring chillier temperatures instead of the usual warmth. There has been a slight increase in the chance for a few flakes of snow eastward across the foothills and down into the piedmont locations of NC/SC, particularly the western sections. Still not feeling safe about guaranteeing the concept but should be noted and watched as we may have a few folks surprised to see some fall. I still expect perhaps some more showers to push through with the next batch of precipitation but again this could mix with some snowflakes as air temperatures look just cold enough to support them reaching the surface in spots so not everyone would see this if the scenario were to play out (strictly coming from the RUC and NAM by the way so be careful about trusting this). Keep an eye on radar and should it show up, look around if you happen to be underneath a good spot. This is playing the game of "Conservatism" as to not rile up people over something that can easily fail. Eventually later today this system will begin to lift up and away from our region, clearing things out for Wednesday with dry conditions for a while until early next week for more rain chances.
More to come later.
Radar as of 2:15am:
Temperatures (Created using Weatherscope):
Alerts (Note: For LA and a portion of SE TX, those are freeze warnings not winter storm watches/warnings or advisories):
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