After experiencing several days of dreary weather, the sun finally made its appearance for today with highs ranging from the low to mid 50s for parts of the Carolinas. We should continue this warm up throughout the weekend and yes, remaining dry for the most part into a part of Monday. Get out and enjoy it while you can because things will eventually become extremely active across the Southeast...
Regarding Tuesday of next week, modeling is still suggesting a severe weather outbreak for much of the region. The threat for heavy winds, large damaging hail, frequent CG and CC lightning and yes, tornadoes are all a part of the threats that are possible with this event even across the Charlotte area. This highly dynamic setup yields a classic severe storm development since we have the following factors: High shear, a rapidly deepening surface low pressure, a strong low level jet, an abundance of Gulf moisture, a sharp and vigorous upper level trough, etc. just to name a few. We cannot pinpoint the exact location of where tornadoes will develop but generally the Southeast as a whole is under the threat for such activity. Keep tuning in to your local channels, my blog, or check up on the "American Weather Forums" for more information regarding this event. Lots of details to iron out between now and later but I will certainly keep an eye on things as we progress through the weekend.
By the way, the event being progged for next week is strangely around the same time of the April 3-4 of 1974 Super Outbreak. Please DO NOT take this as my way of saying that we will see a redux of this event, as I don't think such a threat will be present this go around with this setup but during that time, it too featured several tornadoes developing among the rest of the severe storms that fired up throughout those days. For those of you not familiar with this, check out the link here: http://www.april31974.com/The_storm.html
This year will mark the 37th Anniversary of that event.
Take care and enjoy the weekend!
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