Friday, April 22, 2011

A Wet Wintry-Like Day. Turning Over to Summer for Easter.

What a contrast when you look back at the recent high temperatures.  We went from 80s to 50s in one sitting for highs, and that's where most will be for those inside the wedge that's in place so it will be tough to even reach 60 degrees for most folks.  Rain will push through for a part of the day, making it rather dreary and will feel like one of those wet winter days where you really want to sleep more often (I cannot in this case since I have to work in a couple of hours).  The rain will go on for a while before beginning to taper off later on, opening up for a much better warmer and drier tomorrow after burning off the morning clouds/fog that may hang around.  I expect temperatures to soar into the upper 70s with mid to upper 80s during Easter so definitely worth a day's worth of waiting. 

Next week modeling is continuing to suggest a very potent system to push into the Southeast, dumping very heavy rain and the eruption of several severe thunderstorms.  A trough will eject from the west and as it does so an attending cold front will do the same and push directly eastward.  Low level moist flow with some instability and strong mid-level flow will be conducive for these storms to develop.  Shear values look decent enough for some of these severe cells to become tornadic as they cross the Arklatex/Southern Plains regions. If you are to believe the GFS, timing would be perfect for storms to form as the front pushes through GA and the Carolinas during the day Thursday; the afternoon being the period that this occurs so this will bear watching.  Per the HPC 5 day outlook, rain totals in places such as MO could near 10" once this is all said and done!  Man alive...Anyway, do what you can to enjoy the day and take care.

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