Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Update: Storm Threat Appears to Be Diminishing. Still Could Come Back. My Thoughts for January's Pattern...

Prospect does not look likely compared to yesterday per the latest runs of the 0zs.  We still have the trough, which is fantastic for those who like the feel of winter but most if not all of the modeling show no storm of any sort during the time that it is in place.  I still feel that this threat should not be ignored completely as it can still come right back either tomorrow or the day after but if this is still the case by the time the weekend arrives, we would have to cancel this one and move on to anything that may be in the long term.

January, as it stands now, looks better regarding colder temperatures from the looks of things but the question remains as to whether or not we can get activity of similar fashion for next month.  I like the idea of seeing a few systems make their way toward the Southeast during the month with one or two of those providing wintry precipitation of some sort.  However, this assumes that we have such to track and so if we slack off on the number of systems that would have had arrived, even with the colder pattern you would still be dry more often than not, save for possibly flurry action or a quick hit of snow showers somewhere.  I'm still thinking that there will be a major winter storm in the works sometime between now and through a part of February and with that storm someone is going to get buried but I cannot possibly say when, where it will happen, or how it will develop.  There is just too large of a degree of uncertainty to get into details of that but nonetheless, colder seems to be story here over the next couple of weeks at least. Hopefully it will stay as such and perhaps we will have a system or two watch as well.  Will update tonight if things are back in action for the predicted "event" next week...

No comments:

Post a Comment