Wednesday, December 14, 2011

A Nice Warm Period for a Few Days. Next Chance of Rain Later This Week.

It certainly did not feel like December yesterday as highs were able to climb into the 60s, let alone managing to being higher than what was officially forecasted.  We will continue to look for this kind of weather to stick around over the next 3 days as highs during this period could reach the low 70s in spots thanks to being on the warm side of a high that will move due east in the Carolinas.  However, I expect as we begin to end this week for those temperatures to drop back down again with more rain on the way as a cold front pushes in.  Once it departs from the Southeast, we should remain around seasonable for temperatures during the Christmas week, remaining dry until next Tuesday with another possible round of showers.

Regarding the winter season, it is beginning to look like a 1967-1968/1984-1985 kind of winter where December averages slightly above normal but becomes colder for January and February so don't fret just yet.  In fact, judging by the way the pattern has been, it appears that there will be plenty more systems to swing through the Southeast and one of those are bound to be the one that brings a widespread winter event be it snow, ice, or both in this ever active Northern Hemispheric pattern.  There are also signs of a developing SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming) event taking place, which will aid in developing a -AO and eventually the NAO also going negative as the polar vortex would weaken and allow the colder air to be displaced further south.  With it being bottled for so long, when it finally does sink southward, it's going to mean business but we will cross that bridge when we come to it and see if it occurs.  Climatologically speaking, January is the best period anyway and so if this were timed correctly, we could certainly get into some fun and games later this winter but for now we can only wait and see if it all plays out.  Back away from the cliff folks...   

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