Sunday, June 12, 2011

Storms on the Increase Today. Cooler Weather Getting Nearer. No Atlantic Tropical Troubles

We will continue to see the chance for afternoon and evening strong to severe storms similar to yesterday with large hail and some damaging winds.  The storms this go around should move more quickly since the front will sweep across our area and push them eastward through the day.  Right now it has not yet crossed the Carolinas but it will later today and this will help increase the coverage of showers and thunderstorms instead of the usual pulse variety and give them motion, which also will keep the localized flooding threat down some but still can't rule out some folks who easily flood or have been flooded recently getting threatened again for today.  This front will exit the region later in the evening and especially as we get into the overnight hours where we will dry out for tomorrow with highs getting into the low 90s.

Once this front passes through, cooler air is expected to make its visit for parts of the Southeast for the early part of this week, knocking highs back into the low-mid 80s with low humidity and dewpoint readings.  It's going to feel very nice and with the synoptic setup of the pattern, we will also begin to increase the chance for several MCCs to affect the region with plenty of chances for showers and storms.  This ought to help a lot of the folks who have recently missed out on the rains and relieve the drought some.  I am looking forward to that particular period since the rain will further help keep temperatures down.

Our invest 94L system is now long gone from us as it was making its way into the Atlantic.  The shear was just too much for it to survive so it never became anything more than a disturbance.  There are no other systems that have popped since but remember that we are only getting started and the peak action does not begin until later in the season during September, where I expect the most tropical action to occur.  No changes are planned to be made from my hurricane season forecast for a long while.  Keep checking back here for any updates.

Take care and enjoy the day.

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