Thursday, June 9, 2011

Decent Chance for Thunderstorms Today. A Potential Brief Break from the Heat

Today should feature slightly better chances for thunderstorms than yesterday as the thermodynamics become somewhat more favorable for convection across the western and central NC, SC, and even into parts of GA.  With lee troughing occurring, plenty of low level moisture will be in place for much of these areas today.  Considering the motion of these storms (almost stationary), anyone underneath the strong/severe storms could be in store for localized flooding and persistent storm damage from strong winds and/or large hail so keep that in mind.

Modeling has recently been indicating that we could enter a brief period of cooler temperatures as troughing has been progged to set up across the Eastern US next week, which would reduce the excessive heat and humidity that we have been experiencing for a long while now.  Not set in stone of course but would be a refreshing thing to feel for once.  We'll see....

Regarding the tropics, our disturbance just could not stay alive due to the unfavorable upper level winds that were in place, killing the system as it tried to enter into the Gulf.  It's potential for further development was knocked back down into the low range after indication of said winds was made known.  However, we will need to keep watch in the Caribbean region as there is an frontal boundary in place.  This kind of setup is notoriously known for tropical development to occur in that area so keep an eye on things down there. We could have something else to track either during this weekend or next week.

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