What a flip we have went from warm and dry to chilly and wet. It is almost as though Spring took a vacation and allowed Winter to move back in for a while. Highs were cooler than what most advertised (low-mid 40s instead of low 50s) and sustained a long period of moderate rainfall eventually becoming heavy as we pushed through the early night hour while heavier precipitation moved in from the west. Several reports of storm damage occurred back southwest of the Carolinas where the main threat of severe weather was located, especially across portions of AL and GA. Everything from frequent CC and CG lightning to tornadoes, it was quite an outbreak and had most of the mets over there staying on top of things. Luckily here, we did not have to contend with that due to the wedge that built in limiting storm development. We should be looking at continued chilly and cloudy conditions with a possible shower moving through the region in spots with precipitation moving in for later tonight. Likely, we will eventually see a return to warmer and drier conditions at some point.
Now about the early snow potential, the NAM has been sort of consistent with showing a light snow event for portions of the NC, including here in the CLT region (especially its current 12z run). Earl wx's site paints 2-4 and the BUFKIT shows nothing (which is likely as I see it now) but for places such as Hickory or Greensboro, 1.6" and 3.7" totals (respectively) are possible. Will it happen? I can't really say and it's difficult to get accumulating snow, let alone wintry precipitation, at this time of year but not impossible since it has snowed before in April. I would be very surprised if the totals predicted by earl wx's site or the BUFKIT data for HKY and GSO verified. Just wow at the data.
Stay warm and take it easy folks.
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