Wednesday, March 9, 2011

Extreme Soaking Event in Store for the Southeast. Potential Severe Weather in the Mix

Throughout today, sections of the southeast should see a tremendous rainfall event unfold as our system comes on through the region today.  Modeling has been suggesting quite a wallop (per the NAM/GFS/Canadian) of rain to occur.  Areas in the triple point region are likely to experience the heaviest of the precipitation, which would be areas along the Appalachians including extreme NW SC and NE GA.  This is truly a remarkable storm to watch as it is going to be one of those dynamically-driven type of events that can really crank out impressive rates of precipitation.  I'm going with a general 1-2 inches of rain for parts of the Carolinas with potentially 3+ totals as you get closer to the areas that will be underneath those heavier rain bands/line of strong to severe cells.  Tornadoes are possible as well given the setup, as it has been shown across LA and MS from earlier yesterday.  While the threat should not be as great as it was down in those areas, we still cannot rule out such a scenario.  It will not take much instability to cause to wind damage from powerful gusts of winds in excess of at least +50mph not to mention the chance for severe hail to occur (an inch or more in diameter).  Behind this system, there will be strong CAA which should make for some upslope snows to occur in the mountains of TN/NC which could see some accumulations of 6 inches (especially for the higher elevations), and even extreme northern GA though they would likely see flurries or light snow if lucky enough.  Keep in mind though that this will rapidly increase the threat for major flooding and would actually occur quicker due to the past heavy rain/severe weather events that we have experienced.  Just keep an eye out for signs of rising water if you live in a flood-prone area.  Other than that, that is all for now.  Watch the radar trends and stay safe if you are caught in a dangerous storm. 

Have a great day folks.  

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