Sunday, February 27, 2011

Severe Weather Looking Progressively Likely

After today's lovely conditions with temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s, we'll be heading to an action-packed day tomorrow with severe thunderstorm development for the southeast.  An approaching front will bring in FROPA precipitation during the evening period.  At this point, it appears that the dynamics are favorable for a few tornadoes to develop out of the supercells that do arise with our strong shear and increasing levels of instability.  QLCS seem to be the dominant feature of the convective mode and will therefore support plenty of rotation to work with so we must watch this event carefully folks.  I expect wind damage to definitely be a key thing with the severe cells as well as the chance for small to potentially moderate size hail for some.

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