Monday, May 9, 2011

Warm and Dry Today. Possible Active Tuesday

It's been a fantastic few days with plenty of warmth and nice weather after experiencing those colds low temperatures during late last week.  We should keep this up for throughout today though a few isolated storms is possible in spots.  80s to around 90 should be the high temperatures across the Southeast. 

As for what will be in store for tomorrow, the next system is expected to make a trip into the Southeast region during the day Tuesday.  A system in the Dakotas will depart from there and head through the OV into the eastern areas of the Southeast during the afternoon/evening hours.  A boundary will drape itself along the Savannah River Valley with plenty of instability, moisture, and decent shear aloft.  This could cause some strong to severe storms to fire off during the peak heating hours with a few isolated supercells in the more favorable areas.  I will make note that it is not the possible tornadic development to be most concerned with, but rather the gusty winds and damaging hail will be our main threats with any of these storms.  Initiation of convection also appears to be earlier than expected, starting across the NC mountains during the early part of the afternoon and spreading southeastward across the Carolinas and parts of GA.  Stay alert if your area happens to be underneath one of these storms throughout the day.  This activity should taper off Tuesday night and re-appear on Wednesday, though it will be less threatening since the ridge to our west will move closer and thus cause the dynamics present today to gradually weaken for tomorrow.



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